Blizzard Warning

Our Blizzard Watch has changed to a warning. National Weather Service forecast currently includes the following:

"A CLASSIC WINTERTIME NOREASTER WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TODAY. IT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
TONIGHT AND LIKELY BE SITUATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF
NANTUCKET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING."

And:

"A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS
OR FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.  VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR WITH
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.  THOSE VENTURING
OUTDOORS MAY BECOME LOST OR DISORIENTED...SO
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO STAY
INDOORS."

It can be very difficult for forecasters to predict snowfall totals. The ocean can change a number of factors in a short period of time. Warmer air being drawn in and causing a rain mix, the storm could stall extending the period of snowfall, it could speed up causing the opposite, more moisture can be drawn in from over the water enhancing the snowfall, the storm could develop and move farther off shore lessening the impact, etc.

This is the current thought at the moment. FBF is located just to the southeast of the " in the 15-20" range. This storm is feeling very much like a storm that hit a few years back in which about 3 feet fell after early predictions of just several inches. I expect this to begin fairly soon with the Blizzard Warning in effect from 4pm today to 1pm Sunday.

It seems to me that it's going to be too warm even here for a blockbuster, but we shall see.

Stand by to stand by.